Steven Mann vs Yota Hayashi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-6-0Record13-9-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
60,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight168 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1587
If they lose-16→ 1555
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1470 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Steven MannYota Hayashi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yota Hayashi66%
Steven Mann 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Yota Hayashi a 66% favorite over Steven Mann in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Steven Mann's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1571 vs 1570), separated by just 1 points.
Yota Hayashi enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Steven Mann finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Yota Hayashi 54%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.