Steven Nguyen vs Tom Pagliarulo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record11-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height6'0"
73"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fortis MMATeamNew England Cartel
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Steven NguyenTom Pagliarulo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Steven Nguyen53%
Tom Pagliarulo 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Steven Nguyen a 53% favorite over Tom Pagliarulo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1669), separated by just 1 points.
Tom Pagliarulo enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Steven Nguyen finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Tom Pagliarulo 91%.
Steven Nguyen carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.