Steven Nguyen vs Tom Pagliarulo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record11-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height6'0"
73"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fortis MMATeamNew England Cartel· 1665 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Steven NguyenTom Pagliarulo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tom Pagliarulo76%
Steven Nguyen 24%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tom Pagliarulo a 76% favorite over Steven Nguyen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Steven Nguyen's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1669), separated by just 1 points.
Tom Pagliarulo enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Steven Nguyen finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Tom Pagliarulo 91%.
Steven Nguyen carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.