Steven Nguyen vs Yutaka Saito
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record22-9-2
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'8"
73"Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fortis MMATeamParaestra Koiwa
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
If they win+12→ 1682
If they lose-12→ 1658
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Steven NguyenYutaka Saito
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yutaka Saito65%
Steven Nguyen 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Yutaka Saito a 65% favorite over Steven Nguyen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Steven Nguyen's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1670), separated by just 0 points.
Steven Nguyen finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Yutaka Saito 32%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.