Combat Edge Intelligence

Stipe Miocic vs Valter Walker

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Valter Walker
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Valter Walker

“The Clean Monster”

16-1-0HeavyweightUFC

1755Great

Tale of the tape

20-5-0Record16-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'6"
80"Reach 78"
234 lbsWeight264 lbs
Strong Style Fight TeamTeamGOR MMA· 1738 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Stipe MiocicNow 1765
If they win+16→ 1781
If they lose-16→ 1749
Valter WalkerNow 1755
If they win+16→ 1771
If they lose-16→ 1739

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1802 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.67
Sig. strikes / min
2
53%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.85
52%
Strike defense
43%
1.74
Takedown avg.
5.74
34%
Takedown accuracy
69%
65%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
2.55

Trajectory

Stipe MiocicValter Walker
1700175020252026

Win method breakdown

15 (75%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (38%)
5 (25%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Valter Walker71%
Stipe Miocic 29%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Valter Walker a 71% favorite over Stipe Miocic in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Stipe Miocic's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1765 vs 1755), separated by just 10 points.

Stipe Miocic enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Valter Walker enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Stipe Miocic finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Valter Walker 75%.

Stipe Miocic carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.