Szymon Kasprzyński vs Tagir Machmudov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-0-0Record3-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
-Reach72.4"
174 lbsWeight176 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1579
If they lose-24→ 1531
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Szymon KasprzyńskiTagir Machmudov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tagir Machmudov68%
Szymon Kasprzyński 32%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Tagir Machmudov a 68% favorite over Szymon Kasprzyński in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Szymon Kasprzyński's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1551), separated by just 4 points.
Szymon Kasprzyński enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Tagir Machmudov 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.