Combat Edge Intelligence

Tafon Nchukwi vs Tre'ston Vines

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record10-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
77"Reach79"
190 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team Lloyd IrvinTeamKage Fit Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Tafon NchukwiNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Tre'ston VinesNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.57
Sig. strikes / min
0
53%
Strike accuracy
0%
4.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.56
54%
Strike defense
50%
0.76
Takedown avg.
0
57%
Takedown accuracy
0%
65%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Tafon NchukwiTre'ston Vines
1550160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (10%)
3 (43%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Tre'ston Vines59%
Tafon Nchukwi 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tre'ston Vines a 59% favorite over Tafon Nchukwi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1590), separated by just 1 points.

Tafon Nchukwi finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Tre'ston Vines 70%.

Tre'ston Vines carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.