Combat Edge Intelligence

Takanori Gomi vs Tyson Griffin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Takanori Gomi
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Takanori Gomi

“The Fireball Kid”

35-15-0LightweightRFF

1665Good

Tale of the tape

35-15-0Record17-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'6"
70,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kugayama RascalTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

Takanori Gomi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Tyson Griffin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Takanori GomiNow 1665
If they win+9→ 1674
If they lose-15→ 1650
Tyson GriffinNow 1584
If they win+20→ 1604
If they lose-12→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1657 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.81
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
42%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.30
60%
Strike defense
65%
1.23
Takedown avg.
1.87
65%
Takedown accuracy
47%
64%
Takedown defense
60%
0.80
Submission avg.
0.89

Trajectory

Takanori GomiTyson Griffin
16001650170020172018

Win method breakdown

14 (40%)
KO/TKO
6 (35%)
6 (17%)
Submission
3 (18%)
15 (43%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Tyson Griffin53%
Takanori Gomi 47%Elo baseline: 39%

The Combat Edge model makes Tyson Griffin a 53% favorite over Takanori Gomi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Takanori Gomi's way (39%).

Takanori Gomi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1665 to 1584, a 81-point edge.

Takanori Gomi finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Griffin 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.