Takashi Sato vs Themba Gorimbo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record14-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
73"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
Themba Gorimbo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Takashi Sato carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1592
If they lose-11→ 1568
If they win+15→ 1624
If they lose-17→ 1592
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Takashi SatoThemba Gorimbo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Themba Gorimbo66%
Takashi Sato 34%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Themba Gorimbo a 66% favorite over Takashi Sato in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Themba Gorimbo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1609 to 1579, a 30-point edge.
Takashi Sato enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Themba Gorimbo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Takashi Sato finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Themba Gorimbo 57%.
Themba Gorimbo carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.