Combat Edge Intelligence

Takashi Sato vs Tom Gallicchio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record19-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
73"Reach40,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamTeam Quest

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Takashi SatoNow 1579
If they win+12→ 1591
If they lose-12→ 1567
Tom GallicchioNow 1578
If they win+12→ 1590
If they lose-12→ 1566

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.21
Sig. strikes / min
3.53
42%
Strike accuracy
27%
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.07
44%
Strike defense
44%
0.76
Takedown avg.
1
38%
Takedown accuracy
11%
61%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Takashi SatoTom Gallicchio
16001650201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

11 (73%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (13%)
Submission
13 (68%)
2 (13%)
Decision
6 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Takashi Sato and Tom Gallicchio within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1578), separated by just 1 points.

Takashi Sato enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Tom Gallicchio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Takashi Sato finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Tom Gallicchio 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.