Combat Edge Intelligence

Takashi Sato vs Wiktor Zalewski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record8-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
73"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamWCA Fight Team· 1652 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Takashi SatoNow 1579
If they win+12→ 1591
If they lose-12→ 1567
Wiktor ZalewskiNow 1579
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.21
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
42%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
44%
Strike defense
TBD
0.76
Takedown avg.
TBD
38%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
61%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Takashi SatoWiktor Zalewski
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (73%)
KO/TKO
7 (88%)
2 (13%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (13%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Wiktor Zalewski64%
Takashi Sato 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Wiktor Zalewski a 64% favorite over Takashi Sato in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Takashi Sato's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1579), separated by just 0 points.

Takashi Sato enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Takashi Sato finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Wiktor Zalewski 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.