Takeya Mizugaki vs Vince Morales
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-14-2Record16-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
68,0"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Hakkei GymTeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1633
If they lose-12→ 1609
If they win+12→ 1633
If they lose-12→ 1609
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1644 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1618 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Takeya MizugakiVince Morales
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vince Morales51%
Takeya Mizugaki 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Vince Morales a 51% favorite over Takeya Mizugaki in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Takeya Mizugaki's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1621), separated by just 0 points.
Vince Morales enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Takeya Mizugaki finishes 26% of wins inside the distance, Vince Morales 75%.
Vince Morales carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.