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Combat Edge Intelligence

Tamerlan Temirov vs TJ Waldburger

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record16-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'11"
72"ReachTBD
158 lbsWeight170 lbs
Dr. Makoi TeamTeamGrapplers Lair Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Tamerlan TemirovNow 1592
If they win+24→ 1616
If they lose-24→ 1568
TJ WaldburgerNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.02
Not available
Strike accuracy
51%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.39
Not available
Strike defense
40%
Not available
Takedown avg.
3.03
Not available
Takedown accuracy
46%
Not available
Takedown defense
40%
Not available
Submission avg.
4.79

Trajectory

Tamerlan TemirovTJ Waldburger
15501600201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (25%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
0 (0%)
Submission
13 (81%)
3 (75%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Tamerlan Temirov57%
TJ Waldburger 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tamerlan Temirov a 57% favorite over TJ Waldburger in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1592), separated by just 0 points.

TJ Waldburger enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Tamerlan Temirov finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, TJ Waldburger 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.