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Combat Edge Intelligence

Tamirlan Ashakhanov vs Tristan Arenal

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-7-0Record7-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
TeamUnlimited MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Tamirlan AshakhanovNow 1540
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524
Tristan ArenalNow 1540
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Tamirlan AshakhanovTristan Arenal
1500155020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (43%)
5 (63%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Tamirlan Ashakhanov60%
Tristan Arenal 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tamirlan Ashakhanov a 60% favorite over Tristan Arenal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1540 vs 1540), separated by just 0 points.

Tamirlan Ashakhanov finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Tristan Arenal 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.