Combat Edge Intelligence

Tarcísio Romano vs Yves Jabouin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-8-1Record20-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Cerrado MMA· 1632 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Tarcísio RomanoNow 1519
If they win+16→ 1535
If they lose-16→ 1503
Yves JabouinNow 1516
If they win+16→ 1532
If they lose-16→ 1500

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.06
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.93
TBD
Strike defense
63%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.94
TBD
Takedown accuracy
60%
TBD
Takedown defense
82%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.11

Trajectory

Tarcísio RomanoYves Jabouin
1500155020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
11 (55%)
2 (17%)
Submission
1 (5%)
3 (25%)
Decision
8 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Tarcísio Romano66%
Yves Jabouin 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tarcísio Romano a 66% favorite over Yves Jabouin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1519 vs 1516), separated by just 3 points.

Yves Jabouin enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Tarcísio Romano finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Yves Jabouin 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.