Tarcísio Romano vs Thomas Campbell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-8-1Record3-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Cerrado MMA· 1624 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamSSF Submission Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1539
If they lose-16→ 1507
If they win+24→ 1546
If they lose-24→ 1498
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Tarcísio RomanoThomas Campbell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tarcísio Romano58%
Thomas Campbell 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tarcísio Romano a 58% favorite over Thomas Campbell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1523 vs 1522), separated by just 1 points.
Tarcísio Romano finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Campbell 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.