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Combat Edge Intelligence

Tariq Pell vs Wellington Lopes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tariq Pell
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Tariq Pell

“The Tsunami”

7-2-0LightweightCWFC

1616Solid

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record8-5-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
6'0"Height5'6"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

Tariq Pell is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Wellington Lopes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Tariq PellNow 1616
If they win+13→ 1629
If they lose-19→ 1597
Wellington LopesNow 1541
If they win+19→ 1560
If they lose-13→ 1528

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Tariq PellWellington Lopes
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
2 (29%)
Submission
1 (13%)
2 (29%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Tariq Pell54%
Wellington Lopes 46%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Tariq Pell a 54% favorite over Wellington Lopes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Tariq Pell holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1616 to 1541, a 75-point edge.

Tariq Pell finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Wellington Lopes 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.