Combat Edge Intelligence

Tariq Pell vs Will Kerr

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tariq Pell

Tariq Pell

“The Tsunami”

8-2-0LightweightCWFC

1607Solid

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record9-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Blood Sweat and TearsTeamStrike Zone MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Tariq PellNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
Will KerrNow 1606
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1488 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.91
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.22
TBD
Strike defense
33%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
14.34

Trajectory

Tariq PellWill Kerr
155016001650200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
2 (29%)
Submission
4 (44%)
2 (29%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Tariq Pell70%
Will Kerr 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tariq Pell a 70% favorite over Will Kerr in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1606), separated by just 1 points.

Tariq Pell finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Will Kerr 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.