Combat Edge Intelligence

Tariq Pell vs Yancy Medeiros

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tariq Pell
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Tariq Pell

“The Tsunami”

8-2-0LightweightCWFC

1607Solid

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record16-9-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
-Reach75"
155 lbsWeight165 lbs
Blood Sweat and TearsTeamTeam Hakuilua

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Tariq PellNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
Yancy MedeirosNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1488 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1671 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.36
TBD
Strike accuracy
37%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.67
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.33
TBD
Takedown accuracy
17%
TBD
Takedown defense
74%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

Tariq PellYancy Medeiros
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
2 (29%)
Submission
4 (25%)
2 (29%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Tariq Pell63%
Yancy Medeiros 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tariq Pell a 63% favorite over Yancy Medeiros in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yancy Medeiros's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1609), separated by just 2 points.

Tariq Pell finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Yancy Medeiros 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.