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Combat Edge Intelligence

Tateki Matsuda vs Zarrukh Adashev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-11-0Record4-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
TBDReach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team SityodtongTeamLions Martial Arts Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Tateki MatsudaNow 1547
If they win+12→ 1559
If they lose-12→ 1535
Zarrukh AdashevNow 1549
If they win+24→ 1573
If they lose-24→ 1525

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.20
Sig. strikes / min
3.65
35%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
69%
Strike defense
65%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
17%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Tateki MatsudaZarrukh Adashev
1550202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (33%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
1 (7%)
Submission
0 (0%)
9 (60%)
Decision
2 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Zarrukh Adashev58%
Tateki Matsuda 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Zarrukh Adashev a 58% favorite over Tateki Matsuda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1547 vs 1549), separated by just 2 points.

Tateki Matsuda enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Tateki Matsuda finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Zarrukh Adashev 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.