Tato Primera vs Waachiim Spiritwolf
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-14-0Record12-13-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight169 lbs
Taz AcademyTeamSpiritwolf MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1530
If they lose-12→ 1506
If they win+16→ 1535
If they lose-16→ 1503
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Tato PrimeraWaachiim Spiritwolf
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tato Primera57%
Waachiim Spiritwolf 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tato Primera a 57% favorite over Waachiim Spiritwolf in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Waachiim Spiritwolf's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1518 vs 1519), separated by just 1 points.
Tato Primera enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Waachiim Spiritwolf enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Tato Primera finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Waachiim Spiritwolf 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.