Taylor Lapilus vs Ulka Sasaki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-4-0Record24-10-2
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'10"
73"Reach71.00
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamSerra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Taylor Lapilus is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Ulka Sasaki carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1762
If they lose-25→ 1730
If they win+25→ 1570
If they lose-7→ 1538
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Taylor LapilusUlka Sasaki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Taylor Lapilus88%
Ulka Sasaki 12%Elo baseline: 77%
The Combat Edge model makes Taylor Lapilus a 88% favorite over Ulka Sasaki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).
Taylor Lapilus holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1545, a 210-point edge.
Taylor Lapilus enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Ulka Sasaki enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Taylor Lapilus finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Ulka Sasaki 58%.
Taylor Lapilus and Ulka Sasaki share 1 common opponent: Wilson Reis.
Taylor Lapilus carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.