Taylor Lapilus vs Vince Morales
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-4-0Record16-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
73"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
Taylor Lapilus is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Vince Morales carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1765
If they lose-22→ 1733
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-8→ 1611
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Taylor LapilusVince Morales
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Taylor Lapilus84%
Vince Morales 16%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Taylor Lapilus a 84% favorite over Vince Morales in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Taylor Lapilus holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1619, a 136-point edge.
Taylor Lapilus enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Vince Morales enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Taylor Lapilus finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Vince Morales 75%.
Taylor Lapilus carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.