Combat Edge Intelligence

Teemu Packalen vs Zaur Gadzhiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record4-1-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height6'1"
75,5"Reach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Finnfighters' GymTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Teemu PackalenNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Zaur GadzhievNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.57
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
54%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
48%
Strike defense
TBD
2.31
Takedown avg.
TBD
25%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.54
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Teemu PackalenZaur Gadzhiev
15501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
6 (75%)
Submission
3 (75%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Zaur Gadzhiev70%
Teemu Packalen 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Zaur Gadzhiev a 70% favorite over Teemu Packalen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Teemu Packalen's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1609), separated by just 1 points.

Teemu Packalen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Teemu Packalen finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Zaur Gadzhiev 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.