Combat Edge Intelligence

Terrance Chatman vs Vinicius Kappke de Queiroz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record8-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'7"
76"ReachTBD
266 lbsWeight237 lbs
4oz. Fight Club· 1653 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamTeam Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Terrance ChatmanNow 1564
If they win+24→ 1588
If they lose-24→ 1540
Vinicius Kappke de QueirozNow 1565
If they win+24→ 1589
If they lose-24→ 1541

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.67
TBD
Strike accuracy
51%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.10
TBD
Strike defense
41%
TBD
Takedown avg.
5.07
TBD
Takedown accuracy
70%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.72

Trajectory

Terrance ChatmanVinicius Kappke de Queiroz
155016002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (80%)
KO/TKO
6 (75%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (25%)
1 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Terrance Chatman60%
Vinicius Kappke de Queiroz 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Terrance Chatman a 60% favorite over Vinicius Kappke de Queiroz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vinicius Kappke de Queiroz's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1564 vs 1565), separated by just 1 points.

Terrance Chatman finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Vinicius Kappke de Queiroz 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.