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Combat Edge Intelligence

Terry Etim vs Tracy Reeder

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record12-6-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
TBDReach73.5"
155 lbsWeight160 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Terry EtimNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575
Tracy ReederNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.16
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
36%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
67%
Strike defense
Not available
0.43
Takedown avg.
Not available
30%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
39%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.42
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Terry EtimTracy Reeder
150015501600201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
6 (50%)
12 (75%)
Submission
5 (42%)
2 (13%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Tracy Reeder56%
Terry Etim 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tracy Reeder a 56% favorite over Terry Etim in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Terry Etim's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1589), separated by just 2 points.

Terry Etim finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Tracy Reeder 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.