Themba Gorimbo vs Vicente Luque
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-7-0Record24-13-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
77"Reach75″
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA MastersTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Vicente Luque is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Themba Gorimbo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1629
If they lose-12→ 1597
If they win+9→ 1716
If they lose-15→ 1692
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1712 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Themba GorimboVicente Luque
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vicente Luque92%
Themba Gorimbo 8%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Vicente Luque a 92% favorite over Themba Gorimbo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Vicente Luque holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1609, a 98-point edge.
Themba Gorimbo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Themba Gorimbo finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Vicente Luque 88%.
Themba Gorimbo carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.