Theo Haig vs Tor Troeng
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record16-7-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
77"ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight184 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1637 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamRenyi
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1637
If they lose-24→ 1589
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Theo HaigTor Troeng
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Theo Haig53%
Tor Troeng 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Theo Haig a 53% favorite over Tor Troeng in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tor Troeng's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1614), separated by just 1 points.
Tor Troeng enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Theo Haig finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tor Troeng 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.