Combat Edge Intelligence

Theodor Berggren vs Victor Reyna

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record11-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
75"ReachTBD
167 lbsWeight170 lbs
RenyiTeamAll Powers Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Theodor BerggrenNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Victor ReynaNow 1587
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.80
TBD
Strike accuracy
64%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.75
TBD
Strike defense
43%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Theodor BerggrenVictor Reyna
15501600202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
3 (38%)
Submission
1 (9%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Theodor Berggren84%
Victor Reyna 16%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Theodor Berggren a 84% favorite over Victor Reyna in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1587), separated by just 2 points.

Victor Reyna enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Theodor Berggren finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Victor Reyna 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.