Combat Edge Intelligence

Thiago Perpétuo vs Yusaku Kinoshita

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-1Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach71,5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Furacao Fight TeamTeamPancrase Inagakigumi

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Thiago PerpétuoNow 1524
If they win+24→ 1548
If they lose-24→ 1500
Yusaku KinoshitaNow 1527
If they win+16→ 1543
If they lose-16→ 1511

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1612 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.39
Sig. strikes / min
4.65
70%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.12
51%
Strike defense
52%
2.82
Takedown avg.
0
50%
Takedown accuracy
0%
67%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Thiago PerpétuoYusaku Kinoshita
155020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (78%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
1 (11%)
Submission
2 (33%)
1 (11%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Yusaku Kinoshita62%
Thiago Perpétuo 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yusaku Kinoshita a 62% favorite over Thiago Perpétuo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1524 vs 1527), separated by just 3 points.

Thiago Perpétuo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Yusaku Kinoshita enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Thiago Perpétuo finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Yusaku Kinoshita 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.