Combat Edge Intelligence

Thiago Tavares vs Tyson Griffin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-11-1Record17-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'6"
68,0"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team TavaresTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

Thiago Tavares is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Tyson Griffin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Thiago TavaresNow 1645
If they win+10→ 1655
If they lose-14→ 1631
Tyson GriffinNow 1584
If they win+19→ 1603
If they lose-13→ 1571

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1572 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1657 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
40%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.30
63%
Strike defense
65%
3.83
Takedown avg.
1.87
43%
Takedown accuracy
47%
63%
Takedown defense
60%
1.46
Submission avg.
0.89

Trajectory

Thiago TavaresTyson Griffin
16001650201920202021

Win method breakdown

4 (17%)
KO/TKO
6 (35%)
15 (63%)
Submission
3 (18%)
5 (21%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Thiago Tavares68%
Tyson Griffin 32%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Thiago Tavares a 68% favorite over Tyson Griffin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Thiago Tavares holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1645 to 1584, a 61-point edge.

Thiago Tavares finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Griffin 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.