Combat Edge Intelligence

Thimna Mhlauli vs Šimon Bruknar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record6-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'4"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Thimna MhlauliNow 1588
If they win+24→ 1612
If they lose-24→ 1564
Šimon BruknarNow 1588
If they win+24→ 1612
If they lose-24→ 1564

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Thimna MhlauliŠimon Bruknar
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
1 (20%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (40%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Šimon Bruknar72%
Thimna Mhlauli 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Šimon Bruknar a 72% favorite over Thimna Mhlauli in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Thimna Mhlauli's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1588 vs 1588), separated by just 0 points.

Thimna Mhlauli finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Šimon Bruknar 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.