Thomas Almeida vs Tim Gorman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-5-0Record9-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'4"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamDes Moines MMA Academy
What's at stake
Thomas Almeida is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Tim Gorman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1710
If they lose-15→ 1686
If they win+20→ 1629
If they lose-12→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Thomas AlmeidaTim Gorman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Thomas Almeida74%
Tim Gorman 26%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Thomas Almeida a 74% favorite over Tim Gorman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Thomas Almeida holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1701 to 1609, a 92-point edge.
Thomas Almeida enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Thomas Almeida finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Tim Gorman 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.