Combat Edge Intelligence

Thomas Almeida vs Yves Jabouin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-5-0Record20-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Thomas Almeida is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Yves Jabouin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Thomas AlmeidaNow 1701
If they win+6→ 1707
If they lose-18→ 1683
Yves JabouinNow 1516
If they win+24→ 1540
If they lose-8→ 1508

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.84
Sig. strikes / min
3.06
44%
Strike accuracy
41%
4.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.93
62%
Strike defense
63%
0.17
Takedown avg.
1.94
14%
Takedown accuracy
60%
76%
Takedown defense
82%
0
Submission avg.
0.11

Trajectory

Thomas AlmeidaYves Jabouin
15001550160016501700201320142015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

17 (77%)
KO/TKO
11 (55%)
4 (18%)
Submission
1 (5%)
1 (5%)
Decision
8 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Thomas Almeida83%
Yves Jabouin 17%Elo baseline: 74%

The Combat Edge model makes Thomas Almeida a 83% favorite over Yves Jabouin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).

Thomas Almeida holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1701 to 1516, a 185-point edge.

Thomas Almeida enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Yves Jabouin enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Thomas Almeida finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Yves Jabouin 60%.

Thomas Almeida and Yves Jabouin share 1 common opponent: Brad Pickett.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinKO/TKO · 2015
Brad Pickett
LossKO/TKO · 2012