Thomas Denny vs Áureo Cruz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-21-1Record3-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach63"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Wildman Vale TudoTeamNew Generation MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1560
If they lose-12→ 1536
If they win+24→ 1573
If they lose-24→ 1525
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Thomas DennyÁureo Cruz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Áureo Cruz71%
Thomas Denny 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Áureo Cruz a 71% favorite over Thomas Denny in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1548 vs 1549), separated by just 1 points.
Thomas Denny enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Thomas Denny finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Áureo Cruz 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.