Thomas Petersen vs Vitor Petrino
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record15-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
74"Reach77"
257 lbsWeight205 lbs
Spartan MMATeamCM System· 1632 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Vitor Petrino is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Thomas Petersen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1647
If they lose-10→ 1615
If they win+10→ 1777
If they lose-22→ 1745
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Thomas PetersenVitor Petrino
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vitor Petrino92%
Thomas Petersen 8%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Vitor Petrino a 92% favorite over Thomas Petersen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Vitor Petrino holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1767 to 1625, a 142-point edge.
Vitor Petrino enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Thomas Petersen finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Vitor Petrino 67%.
Vitor Petrino carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.