Tim Boetsch vs Todd Brown
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-13-0Record16-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
74,0"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team IrishTeamBulldog Fight Team
What's at stake
Tim Boetsch is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Todd Brown carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1642
If they lose-13→ 1618
If they win+17→ 1623
If they lose-15→ 1591
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1692 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Tim BoetschTodd Brown
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tim Boetsch54%
Todd Brown 46%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Tim Boetsch a 54% favorite over Todd Brown in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Tim Boetsch holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1631 to 1606, a 25-point edge.
Tim Boetsch enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Tim Boetsch finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Todd Brown 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.