Tim Boetsch vs Yushin Okami
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-13-0Record37-15-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
74,0"Reach41,5"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team IrishTeamEXFIGHT
What's at stake
Yushin Okami is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Tim Boetsch carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1644
If they lose-11→ 1620
If they win+11→ 1678
If they lose-13→ 1654
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1692 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Tim BoetschYushin Okami
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yushin Okami58%
Tim Boetsch 42%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Yushin Okami a 58% favorite over Tim Boetsch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Yushin Okami holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1667 to 1631, a 36-point edge.
Tim Boetsch enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Tim Boetsch finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Yushin Okami 47%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.