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Combat Edge Intelligence

Tim Elliott vs Umalat Israpilov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

22-14-1Record18-3-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'8"
66"Reach-
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Next Generation Mixed Martial ArtsTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Tim ElliottNow 1657
If they win+12→ 1669
If they lose-12→ 1645
Umalat IsrapilovNow 1659
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1676 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.51
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
43%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
56%
Strike defense
Not available
3.61
Takedown avg.
Not available
25%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
59%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.06
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Tim ElliottUmalat Israpilov
1650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (14%)
KO/TKO
5 (28%)
8 (36%)
Submission
4 (22%)
11 (50%)
Decision
9 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Tim Elliott54%
Umalat Israpilov 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tim Elliott a 54% favorite over Umalat Israpilov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Umalat Israpilov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1657 vs 1659), separated by just 2 points.

Umalat Israpilov enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Tim Elliott finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Umalat Israpilov 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.