Tim Hague vs Todd Duffee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-13-0Record9-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
TBDReach78,0"
264 lbsWeight241 lbs
UFC Gym EdmontonTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1621
If they lose-12→ 1597
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Tim HagueTodd Duffee
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Todd Duffee56%
Tim Hague 44%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Todd Duffee a 56% favorite over Tim Hague in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tim Hague's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1601), separated by just 8 points.
Todd Duffee enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Tim Hague finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Todd Duffee 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.