Tim Kennedy vs Yoel Romero
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record16-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height5'10"
74,0"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1746
If they lose-16→ 1714
If they win+16→ 1747
If they lose-16→ 1715
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1686 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Tim KennedyYoel Romero
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yoel Romero51%
Tim Kennedy 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Yoel Romero a 51% favorite over Tim Kennedy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1730 vs 1731), separated by just 1 points.
Tim Kennedy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tim Kennedy finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Yoel Romero 81%.
Tim Kennedy and Yoel Romero share 2 common opponents: Luke Rockhold and Melvin Manhoef.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.