Tim Lajcik vs Tsuyoshi Kosaka
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-6-1Record28-21-2
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
225 lbsWeight214 lbs
Gladiators Training AcademyTeamAlliance-Square
What's at stake
Tsuyoshi Kosaka is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Tim Lajcik carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1530
If they lose-11→ 1498
If they win+8→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1601
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Tim LajcikTsuyoshi Kosaka
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tsuyoshi Kosaka67%
Tim Lajcik 33%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Tsuyoshi Kosaka a 67% favorite over Tim Lajcik in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Tsuyoshi Kosaka holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1617 to 1509, a 108-point edge.
Tim Lajcik enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tim Lajcik finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Tsuyoshi Kosaka 63%.
Tim Lajcik and Tsuyoshi Kosaka share 1 common opponent: Ron Waterman.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.