Tim Means vs Tymoteusz Łopaczyk
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
33-17-1 Record 14-4-0
Welterweight Division Welterweight
6'2" Height 5'9"
75" Reach 73"
170 lbs Weight 171 lbs
Fit NHB Team WCA Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1658
If they lose-12→ 1634
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Tim Means Tymoteusz Łopaczyk
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tymoteusz Łopaczyk76%
Tim Means24%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tymoteusz Łopaczyk a 76% favorite over Tim Means in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tim Means's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1646), separated by just 0 points.
Tim Means enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tim Means finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Tymoteusz Łopaczyk 79%.
Tim Means carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.