Combat Edge Intelligence

Tim Means vs Yohan Lainesse

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tim Means
us

Tim Means

“The Dirty Bird”

33-17-1WelterweightUFC

1646Solid

Tale of the tape

33-17-1Record11-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'1"
75"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Tim MeansNow 1646
If they win+12→ 1658
If they lose-12→ 1634
Yohan LainesseNow 1647
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.04
Sig. strikes / min
2.22
49%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.38
60%
Strike defense
59%
1.14
Takedown avg.
0.94
40%
Takedown accuracy
29%
65%
Takedown defense
73%
0.16
Submission avg.
0.47

Trajectory

Tim MeansYohan Lainesse
16501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

20 (61%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
5 (15%)
Submission
0 (0%)
8 (24%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Yohan Lainesse70%
Tim Means 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yohan Lainesse a 70% favorite over Tim Means in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1647), separated by just 1 points.

Tim Means enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Yohan Lainesse enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Tim Means finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Yohan Lainesse 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.