Combat Edge Intelligence

Tim Sylvia vs Wesley Correira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tim Sylvia
us

Tim Sylvia

“The Maine-iac”

31-10-0HeavyweightAMC

1714Good

Tale of the tape

31-10-0Record21-16-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'8"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
265 lbsWeight253 lbs
Team ExtremeTeamCabbage MMA

What's at stake

Tim Sylvia is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Wesley Correira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Tim SylviaNow 1714
If they win+7→ 1721
If they lose-17→ 1697
Wesley CorreiraNow 1574
If they win+17→ 1591
If they lose-7→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.23
Sig. strikes / min
2.96
42%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
10.33
61%
Strike defense
41%
0.11
Takedown avg.
0
100%
Takedown accuracy
0%
75%
Takedown defense
91%
0.11
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Tim SylviaWesley Correira
1600165017001750201120122013201420152016

Win method breakdown

22 (71%)
KO/TKO
17 (85%)
2 (6%)
Submission
2 (10%)
7 (23%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

Tim Sylvia61%
Wesley Correira 39%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Tim Sylvia a 61% favorite over Wesley Correira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Tim Sylvia holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1714 to 1574, a 140-point edge.

Tim Sylvia enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Tim Sylvia finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Wesley Correira 95%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.