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Combat Edge Intelligence

Tim Wilde vs Valmir Lazaro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tim Wilde
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Tim Wilde

“The Experiment”

17-7-1LightweightCage Warriors

1613Solid

Tale of the tape

17-7-1Record19-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'0"
75"Reach73,0"
155 lbsWeight154 lbs
Renegade MMATeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Tim WildeNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
Valmir LazaroNow 1613
If they win+12→ 1625
If they lose-12→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.87
Not available
Strike accuracy
37%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.09
Not available
Strike defense
62%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.33
Not available
Takedown accuracy
40%
Not available
Takedown defense
96%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Tim WildeValmir Lazaro
16001650202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (41%)
KO/TKO
11 (58%)
1 (6%)
Submission
0 (0%)
9 (53%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Tim Wilde57%
Valmir Lazaro 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tim Wilde a 57% favorite over Valmir Lazaro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1613), separated by just 0 points.

Tim Wilde finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Valmir Lazaro 58%.

Tim Wilde carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.