Timur Valiev vs Trevin Jones
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-4-0Record14-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
67"Reach70"
138 lbsWeight135 lbs
DagFighterTeamVida Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
Timur Valiev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Trevin Jones carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1716
If they lose-23→ 1684
If they win+23→ 1577
If they lose-9→ 1545
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Timur ValievTrevin Jones
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Timur Valiev79%
Trevin Jones 21%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Timur Valiev a 79% favorite over Trevin Jones in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Timur Valiev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1554, a 153-point edge.
Trevin Jones enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Timur Valiev finishes 37% of wins inside the distance, Trevin Jones 50%.
Timur Valiev and Trevin Jones share 1 common opponent: Raoni Barcelos.
Trevin Jones carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.