Combat Edge Intelligence

Tom Nolan vs Viacheslav Borshchev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tom Nolan
au

Tom Nolan

“Big Train”

11-1-0LightweightUFC

1726Good

Tale of the tape

11-1-0Record8-7-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height5'11"
73"Reach 69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Compton Training CentreTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

Tom Nolan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Viacheslav Borshchev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Tom NolanNow 1726
If they win+10→ 1736
If they lose-22→ 1704
Viacheslav BorshchevNow 1594
If they win+22→ 1616
If they lose-10→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1605 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.87
Sig. strikes / min
5.22
46%
Strike accuracy
54%
4.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.73
48%
Strike defense
57%
0.74
Takedown avg.
0
22%
Takedown accuracy
0%
71%
Takedown defense
43%
1.86
Submission avg.
0.15

Trajectory

Tom NolanViacheslav Borshchev
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
6 (75%)
1 (9%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (45%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Tom Nolan92%
Viacheslav Borshchev 8%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Tom Nolan a 92% favorite over Viacheslav Borshchev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Tom Nolan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1726 to 1594, a 132-point edge.

Tom Nolan enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Viacheslav Borshchev enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Tom Nolan finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Viacheslav Borshchev 75%.

Tom Nolan carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.