Combat Edge Intelligence

Tony Gravely vs Victor Henry

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Victor Henry
us

Victor Henry

“La Mangosta”

25-7-0BantamweightUFC

1729Good

Tale of the tape

23-9-0Record25-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'7"
69"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top TeamTeamUWF USA

What's at stake

Victor Henry is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Tony Gravely carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Tony GravelyNow 1684
If they win+14→ 1698
If they lose-10→ 1674
Victor HenryNow 1729
If they win+10→ 1739
If they lose-14→ 1715

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.82
Sig. strikes / min
7.17
48%
Strike accuracy
53%
4.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.19
44%
Strike defense
48%
5.40
Takedown avg.
1.04
42%
Takedown accuracy
43%
52%
Takedown defense
81%
0.30
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Tony GravelyVictor Henry
1700175020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (43%)
KO/TKO
7 (28%)
3 (13%)
Submission
8 (32%)
10 (43%)
Decision
10 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Tony Gravely and Victor Henry within a point of even.

Victor Henry holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1729 to 1684, a 45-point edge.

Tony Gravely enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Tony Gravely finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Victor Henry 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.