Tonya Evinger vs Yana Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record17-8-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
39,0"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
W4R Training CenterTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1668
If they lose-12→ 1644
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Tonya EvingerYana Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yana Santos64%
Tonya Evinger 36%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Yana Santos a 64% favorite over Tonya Evinger in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1656 vs 1661), separated by just 5 points.
Tonya Evinger enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Yana Santos enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Tonya Evinger finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Yana Santos 47%.
Tonya Evinger and Yana Santos share 2 common opponents: Aspen Ladd and Irene Aldana.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.