Tor Troeng vs Trevor Smith
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-7-1Record15-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReach41,5"
184 lbsWeight185 lbs
RenyiTeamRing Demon Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1629
If they lose-17→ 1597
If they win+17→ 1618
If they lose-15→ 1586
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1593 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Tor TroengTrevor Smith
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Trevor Smith62%
Tor Troeng 38%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Trevor Smith a 62% favorite over Tor Troeng in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tor Troeng's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1601), separated by just 13 points.
Tor Troeng enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Trevor Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Tor Troeng finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Trevor Smith 67%.
Tor Troeng and Trevor Smith share 1 common opponent: Thales Leites.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.